Tuesday, February 26, 2019

The 21st century populist challenge to meritocracy


The 21st century populist challenge to meritocracy

My comment on Ross Douthat, in his New York Times column of 15/2018

 Here, I examine the grounds for the rise of a populist and then consider the chances for the survival of democratic meritocracy in America.  The worldwide spread of electronic technology has created problems that the elites have not been able to sufficiently solve within the framework of the global order created by and dominated by the United States, in which nations can pursue their self-interests safely. The elites, who are trusted to run the world, are therefore mostly improvising , while considering possible alternate orders. Just as passengers on a boat steered by an obviously improvising  captain feel increasing anxiety, so, by time of the 2008 presidential campaign, a critical number of Americans felt great anxiety. Both Barack Obama and John McCain, responsible patriots, sensed this anxiety and knew that anxiety is a breeding ground for a populist demagogue. they kept cool throughout the campaign until in the last debate during which Sen. McCain seeing that he was heading for a loss, launched a savage attack, which was overcome by Sen. Obama’s counterattack. In New York State, a populist campaigned I got like the you when we want and how much, is a check today all the way all the way to for the governorship, but he was so ill-prepared that he was laughed off the scene. The successful populist was, of course, Donald J. Trump, who campaigned solely on his self- proclaimed ability to solve all problems ignoring the “swamp” of established elites. He is, of course, just another member of the elite class and knew well that there were strong limits on what he could accomplish without the cooperation of the “swamp”

Meanwhile, in Guatemala, for example, the percentage of people living in misery has been very much greater than the percentage of such. In the United States. This is not new; however, new communication technology has enabled many of the miserable be willing to risk their miserable lives in trying to come to live here. This wave of attempted migration and similar waves if other relatively well-off countries has led to real or imagined destabilization in the host countries, increasing the general anxiety and support for would be populist leaders. Are there any elected populist leaders who have maintained full democracy and carried a nation to sufficient prosperity and peace? If so, they are few, whereas strong men or one party countries have achieved more of these, at the expense of democracy.
Pres. Trump may or not be reelected, and at the end of his tenure the effects of his leadership will be debated (probably noisily). In any case, it seems very unlikely that he will be followed in office by another would be- populist. This is especially so given that the Democrat candidate
whom he defeated, Secretary of State Clinton, although virtuously and wisely campaigning as a grandmother soothing the agitation populace, was vilified by her own campaign manager and staff in a conversation public leaked, had from the start been more unpopular than Mr. Trump, and had only with a show of reluctance, played to her strongest base, organized labor.
Mr. Douthat reports that It would take international developments extremely negative to  Americans to persuade us to discard democracy or for it  offer is to be overthrown. Some, including An air Peer-E, Pastor of District 1 of the Family Federation for World Have unification and World Peace (a position functionally similar to that of a Superintendent in the United Methodist Church) I worried that China, run by a strong man with an extensive one party apparatus at his disposal will become so economically strong, at the extent human rights, so impact America. Meanwhile, as some, maybe significant third parties such as all-rights or so-called socialist (actively advocating huge parental government, and the spacer event people’s anger and wish they had channeled their anxiety however, emerging threats will continue to be as subtle, although not complacently, probably.

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